2 Comments
⭠ Return to thread

War with China not going to happen. The rivalry will be intense but as you say there is no need for war.

The relationship deteriorated after Xi realised that the US had no intention of fixing the financial system after the crisis of 2008. China stopped buying more treasury-bills and began the Belt and Road initiative (which must have been on the drawing board for a while before that) to redirect its trade surpluses.

IMO the great danger is that if the US were successful in its strategy of wearing down Beijing and thereby somehow fostering regime change, the resulting chaos would be catastrophic. The US obviously wants Yeltsin style mischief in China. Most of the world, including Australia, needs stability and continuity in China.

Long-run Washington needs to repair relations with Beijing and Moscow simultaneously and stop trying to play these two off against each other.

Expand full comment

China is also essential to the whole climate grift

Expand full comment