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RemovedJul 25, 2022·edited Jul 25, 2022Liked by Niccolo Soldo
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1. It's a war no matter how the Russians define it.

2. I don't want to see this kind of derogatory language on my Substack regarding ethnic groups.

3. I don't want people to post low quality comments like "Ukrainians are Nazis" despite some of them having been on the Axis side in WW2.

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In the future I’ll check my derogatory language about Croatans, but there will be someday an answer for Roanoke.

Thought you got away with it, dincha?

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Olga, where do you think the borders will be? At the moment I assume that Ukraine will lose the Donbass and everything east of the Dniepr. After that Russia will retake Odessa and beyond to Transnistria (essentially the entire Pontic steppe), leaving Ukraine with Galicia and Volhynia, with regions to the south of that perhaps going to Hungary.

There is some speculation in the West that after Odessa is reunited with Russia will act as the westernmost node of a trade route to the east, linking up by sea and rail to the emerging Eurasian market. Odessa offers the Visegrad bloc (with the exception of Poland) an outlet for trade that is independent of the West. Is anything like this being discussed in the Russian media?

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I missed the deleted comment, but Russia might settle for Donbass. The idea that they won’t stop before Dniper as being an inflexible goal may be overrated.

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Moscow's goals appear to be a work in progress. Much will depend on how badly the Ukrainians are defeated. There are reports that Kiev is having trouble getting troops from their western provinces to fight in the east. My guess is that the politicians (warlords) in control of Lvov and Ivano-Frankovsk may just give up on an expansive Ukraine and settle for a rump under their own care. I imagine that the politics is going to get pretty intense and that Warsaw, Budapest and Bucharest have contingency plans already drawn up.

Washington got played easily enough by goat-herders, so I expect that we shall see that surpassed.

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Mmm

Europe-

See earlier comments strategic depth

Astan goat herders

DC didn’t get played as much as it got PAID for Astan, so...

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Sorry for the late entry, I was all over the place the past few days (including an island).

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Jul 25, 2022Liked by Niccolo Soldo

Elite attitudes towards democracy are quite simple, really: it can only be called Democracy if it comes from the Langley region of Virginia. Otherwise it’s just sparkling populism.

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True, true. The interesting thing, for me, is that the elite supported unrest directed against Trump and have cheered on Colour Revolutions across the globe, even when these involved riots, pogroms and the molestation of the general public, but they are anxious at much less intense upheavals targeting policies that fortify their class privilege. The upheaval in Sri Lanka was pretty civilised compared to either the Arab Spring or many of the George Floyd protests. The protests in the Netherlands are rowdy, but the farmers are vastly better behaved than college kids who rioted in Washington a few years back.

Perhaps the violence sponsored by the elite has had a demonstration effect, albeit on a grand scale?

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Jul 25, 2022Liked by Niccolo Soldo

I live near DC and have a lot of beltway insiders in my orbit, and they’re generally pretty sympathetic to the Sri Lanka riots mainly because—and this is what they’ve told me outright—Sri Lanka isn’t particularly democratic anyways, so they don’t see it as parallel to the Jan 6 Capitol riot. (The almost religious rage over Jan 6 hasn’t abated amongst DC libs, though they aren’t very good at giving a coherent reason why they think it was so terrible.)

But yeah, I think your core speculation here is correct—it’s class and career self interest. The Washington class has managed to engineer its ideology to the point where the Venn diagram between their sincere beliefs about what’s good and their immediate self interest is a circle.

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I expect that the Beltway insiders understand f###-all about Sri Lanka in the first place. They must also be pretty stupid to use ideological filters at all. A genuine elite disdains popular unrest instinctively and would sense that the demonstration effect of an uprising has implications for elites everywhere.

The reaction to January 6 was insane and really exposed the Beltway crowd as cowards and fools. There are football fans across Europe that are more aggressive by an order of magnitude. They, the Beltway, could not cope with substantial political unrest. The danger is that they will overreact in response to perceived threats in future, thereby escalating things.

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I think the ideological filters are there in part because that’s a major component of what defines the current elite and is to some extent a price of entry. Most historical elite groups have had some form or another of moral framework and a shared notion of how to think and behave with various things and in our current year I think that progressive neoliberalism fills that niche these days. I’m shooting from the hip a bit here but that’s the first explanation that comes to mind for me.

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The late Christopher Lasch made pretty much the same point in THE REVOLT OF THE ELITES many years ago. Lasch thought that the college educated were becoming defined by their beliefs and that this process brought them into sharp conflict with other classes.

I think that a large part of the intensity is that the current elite is a relatively newly developed one. It lacks the confidence of a mature and well-established elite that can live with the reality that their worldview is class-specific. This may change, as the elite congeals into a hereditary caste so removed from the masses that it takes both the social and cultural distance for granted.

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1. The Dutch farmers are dead men walking

2. The Sri Lankans know how to fight and how to survive but their big daddy is China so they’ll be alright

3. Bankers are protected by private contractors, who would be called mercenaries but mercenaries are illegal so they’re contractors, lawyers are so helpful yes

4. Yer going to starve and Ye are all Irish ☘️ now

5. Nico missed American unrest cuz he doesn’t believe it’s gonna happen neither do I see ☘️ ☠️

6. If it does no whining please

7. If it doesn’t at least the starving will cut down on whining

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1. The Dutch authorities are as sentimental as sharks, regardless of their cuddly image overseas.

3. I'd expect that the bankers will do alright. They will use popular discontent to promote digital currencies, to be rolled out with the payment of Universal Basic Income as a bait. They will fortify their relationship with government by co-operating with mass surveillance to crush dissent (as we saw in Canada and the seizure of property belonging to truckers and their supporters). The fiscal crises of insolvent governments will provide the bankers with the opportunity to patch together a successor to neo-liberalism designed to suit their long-term interests. Maybe there will be a new wave of Woke? The changes to the mandate of the Federal Reserve suggest that the financial sector is planning on a major push to incorporate diversity and equity in the allocation of capital.

5. Agree on the unlikelihood of genuine, serious, unrest of any scale in the US. The population is too old, too fat and too inebriated by infotainment and cannabis. The last generation of real troublemakers (pre WW1 and afterwards) were fit, lean, alert and literate. Nothing like people today. However, even a little bit of unrest will be broadcast as Attila on angel-dust.

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There’s no shortage of men, really. Despite the hype.

There’s a shortage of will.

There’s a conundrum for any fighting man; you get married or have kids either the marriage or the fighting is over.

^Inside baseball. ^

Also the voters and elites select our leadership and its all Milley’s or Uvalde PD, it’s not possible to do anything under the circumstances but wait and see, and hope. Hope for leaders, not the fsking people. Americans are 90% Libertarians in reality. Sherman saw that, Dirk Pitt the Elder saw it, only the stunning passing around of the problem in London until it was too late forced the Americans to fight and declare Independence. London was basically doing their default of Chancery courts and waiting for the Colonists to give up when by mistake they enraged Franklin and engaged Washington.

As for the rest of 🇺🇸 they are slaves to the women, and pffft irrelevant

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Reminds me of a passage from 1999 in a Heritage Foundation article: "To understand what happened in Yugoslavia, imagine a United States in which Maryland and Virginia, because they surround the national capital, tax the rest of the country to support their local budgets; in which only residents of those two states have any chance at a military career, and only historical figures from those states are publicly praised as national heroes. The consequences for America, one can speculate, would be no less bloody."

http://www.islamicpluralism.org/1036/beyond-ancient-hatreds

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You don’t really have to imagine it except the military part

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I am impressed by your passage on democracy. I am not comfortable with "democracies" in which votes cast by the proudly ignorant count as much as votes cast by those who take the trouble and learn something of the issues.

If that is seen as reason enough to call me a fascist, I wear that name lightly. I am in good company.

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The ignorant have as much of a stake in the country as anyone else and those who take trouble to learn something about issues mostly only ever make up their minds on the basis of ideological cues. The proportion of people who think seriously about politics is pretty small. On balance, the ignorant do much less harm than the opinionated.

Out of curiosity, why do you consider the possibility of being called fascist some sort of honour?

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The curious ought to learn to read.

The word "honour" is nowhere to be seen.

I wear all names (labels, libels, . . . ) lightly because, I consider their source and spit on them. Ever so lightly.

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Anyone who applies rigorous standards to language must be frequently offended, I'd expect. Democracy would be the least of their worries.

Thanks for going lightly.

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Well 😂

The ignorant aren’t ignorant and they’ve been reading for centuries.

The most honest leader on this ever was the school teacher named Pol Pot, who once in power shot the people wearing glasses. Easily the most honest schoolteacher ever. Probably the most honest politician in thousands of years.

I’m getting the same vibe off Andras here.... minus the ascetic integrity.

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Don’t worry our votes in American Empire purely symbolic.

Democracy is soldiers voting or its Fraud, we’ve just dispensed with pretending is all.

People who take time to learn about the issues seem to tend towards killing or genociding those who disagree, but this is very human so don’t worry.

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Mario Draghi's career embodies the futility of democratic politics in Europe: representative government no longer provides the electorate with agency, because everything of substance is decided extra-politically by technocrats. Draghi, like other politicians, cannot fill any substantive function beyond misdirecting the Italian people with promises that he knows the technocrats have no intention of fulfilling. Liberal democracy can no longer integrate the masses into a liberal democratic order, any more than liberal capitalism can continue to integrate the masses via a labour market that increasingly offers casual or informal work. If the age profile of Italy were not so heavily skewed towards the aged, political unrest would simply bring the system crashing down.

The post-Cold War holiday from history is now over. The Italian elite will have to make a choice: do they lead their people or simply govern them on behalf of the USA and the EU? My guess is that they will chose the latter.

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Thomas Fazi is excellent on the democracy deficit in Italy (which applies to the rest of the European countries in the EU).

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Jul 25, 2022·edited Jul 25, 2022Liked by Niccolo Soldo

What makes you think that people who poisoned themselves over extended periods of time needed the HIV or any other virus to destroy their immune systems? As for “the Trump Administration,” that is yet another example of something not needing any cause outside itself for its complete and utter failure.

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I discuss co-factors when it comes to HIV.

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There were FACTORS. HIV was not one of them.

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AIDS doesn’t even exist in any real, discrete way. It’s simply a label given to various amalgams of symptoms.

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Who could have foreseen that a vaginal paroxysm of fear and female neuroses over a relatively insignificant virus could cause such devastation? I'm sure many people here are among the COVID Cassandras. I have a couple shitlib neighbors and I'm very tempted to put up a yard sign that simply states "Your hysterical reaction to COVID is responsible for millions of deaths in the third world." Of course, Black Lives Matter, unless we're talking about famine in Africa.

As to monkey pox, I have a sort of... final solution to this problem. DM me for details.

Lastly, a couple neighbors have taken their Ukraine flags down. I kinda assumed that meant the war was over.

Edit: By the way, Nic, Matt Walsh has a long Twitter thread in which he describes the process of tech companies and governments using information from NGOs that is laundered through regime media in order to create consensus and write new rules. In other words, you've made it. Your central topic of concern is now popular with MAGA Boomers and normie conservatives. Congratulations, and I'm sure the check is in the mail.

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Thanks 😂

“Vaginal spasms “

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If people want growth without inflation then the answer is energy money: the Literal Petrodollar = 1000$ = 1 BOE (Barrel of Oil Equivalent) and the KwH (Kilowatt Hour) 💶 EURO etc etc. this allows growth but with any “Inflation” bending the energy cost curve down- which is how inflation has been kicking our asses since the 1970s.

It allows the blessed governments and elites their endless growths (yes growths) since that is our political economy.

It allows Corporations to keep making private money but on a positive basis that actually helps instead of our current system of credit money and rentier capitalism. < that is our “money” and they won’t let it go, so work with what you’ve got. COMRADES.

It lets the workers go back to work.

It lets us actually dig ourselves out of a global hole of debt with something other than accounting tricks.

Even GREEN aka Environmentalists can get something from KwH money- that something being PAID OFF which is what most of them will settle for (exactly as THE LEFT always needs and needed ready money and was always for sale).

The amounts of energy are limited only by our own idiotic constraints at this point anyway, we don’t even need “new technology” the Solar system and the Sun alone are enough for much electricity, this isn’t new.

We also need to run in the meantime and have a millennium of hydrocarbons in oil, natural gas, coal, biodiesel (like fuggn cooking oil etc) and etc etc.

even Green can get paid.

And Energy money restores money to a store of real value, while bringing endless allies (for the money) and governments can control the production and the alliances and competition for the pie is the conversation we should have, instead of how to manage the decline.

The only losers are the ones set on reducing mankind to a few million souls, living in harmony blah blah - but genocidal people are Hostes Humani Generis in any case.

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My understanding is that Putin is doing just that via the new arrangements for settlements and exchange for Russia's oil and gas exports. The ruble is now essentially tied to oil and natural gas prices. Russia has also set a fixed price in rubles for buying gold.

The era of hard currency is returning!

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Makes me seriously consider investing in one of those luxury, billion dollar bunkers.

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Global unrest; the Great Reset is Ireland 1840s on Global scale.

In plain words yer gonna starve.

If you take it you deserve it,

And bankers are prepared and preparing by hiring and beefing up PSDs (Personal Security Detachments aka Military and Police working as Bodyguards, a job Ich habe resume and schools and references to do now and we dah smart gunsels keep our hands in ) so ...

Literally

XXXX NOTHING FOLLOWS XXX

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Lol Ukraine

When the Germans say “we can’t live with ____” that means that’s exactly what they’ll settle for...

...example in Bosnia 25 years ago ... “No one is talking partition” well it was already done lol lmao

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Is Adderall a better solution than Coke? Never messed with drugs... dunno.

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Oh wait I misunderstood

We have an “Adderall Emergency” 🚨🚨🚨

“All of my patients who go to CVS have trouble getting their Adderall,” says Stephanie Zisook, a psychiatrist in Westwood who treats adults with mood and anxiety disorders. “It’s so weird. I’m not seeing that people are having a hard time getting benzos at CVS.” 

If there’s one thing that gets our elites in gear its the precious brood being upset, Karen will get the salts soon enough...

Hmm 🤔

Betcha thats a good market to bet on, China read this stack?

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Jul 25, 2022Liked by Niccolo Soldo

Parents supplying their children with drugs for their own material interests. Surely, a Scourge of God must be around the corner?

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It would behoove you to spend some time studying the interplay between pathogens, the human immune system, and vaccines in order to gain a better understanding of the complexity and challenges involved in these relationships, so that, in the future, you will pause before using such offhand statements like "we are better off because of vaccines...".

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This is one of those comments that is too good to be ironic, but the username really seals the deal.

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I'm not gonna go into length about vaccines and pathogens in a review column because it would eat the entire thing up.

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Jul 26, 2022Liked by Niccolo Soldo

You missed the point, but it doesn't matter.

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Between the spreading civil unrest, driven more or less entirely by a global economy collapsing in real time due to elite mismanagement; the nasty blowback from the economic war on Russia; and mass disillusionment with purportedly elected national leaders who transparently operate in the interests of, and were selected by, the managerial technocracy; it really seems like the elite levels of our social order have lost the mandate of heaven.

I wonder how much that has to do with the globalist class having become essentially its own tribe. Everywhere in the West, leadership positions are occupied by people who are self-consciously members of a global class, having much more in common with one another than with the populations they rule over. It's somewhat similar to colonialism, although a closer historical analogy may be the European nobility of the aristocratic era. In either case, rulers who no longer see themselves as organic members of the same society that includes the ruled, but as members of a different group entirely, will be perceived by those they rule over in the same light. No one likes being ruled by aliens, since aliens have a tendency to rule in their interests, rather than yours.

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Throughout history many peoples have been governed by foreigners, but traditionally foreign rulers left the natives to their own beliefs and, as far as possible, relied on locals to keep their neighbours in line. The current elite exult in their deterritorialised and denationalised culture while actively frustrating whatever remains of the traditional way of life of those they rule....an approach that is guaranteed to produce blowback.

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Exactly. There's nothing intrinsically wrong with foreign rule. But it needs to be with a very light hand, because people generally prefer home rule, and a

contemptuous heavy hand breeds precisely the resentment that fuels national liberation struggles regardless of the material cost.

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I have often told friends that the only way to secure good government would be to declare war on Singapore and follow that up with an unconditional surrender.

I suspect that most coastal Californians, Oregonians and Washingtonians would be delighted if they ever ended up with San Francisco, Portland and Seattle run as foreign settlements just like old Tangier.

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The post Nuremberg regime was always built on lies and deception. That's why its not comparable to other regimes were peoples have been ruled by foreigners exactly because its is not the result of military conquest or a mandate from the masses, but from social engineering and psychological manipulation. Its a complete break from history but i think were seeing it unravel in real time finally.

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The post Nuremberg regime was confected in large part by the same forces that put the NSDAP in power originally: big business. In the West WW2 was a competition between nation-states controlled by rival portions of the IG Farben cartel. The American partners won, the US Occupation government pardoned the corporate types who had financed Hitler in the first place and they rehabilitated whoever was left over from the old regime who was useful provided that they went along with the needs of the Atlanticists. This worked during the Cold War, but the revival of Russia under Putin destabilised everything. In its dying moments (Angela Merkel) the regime welcomed mass migration to prevent the possibility of a future mobilisation of Germany along nationalist lines.

The last chance Germany itself had for a decent future died with Walter Rathenau. The last chance of a peaceful and productive integration of Europe and the East died with Alfred Herrhausen.

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You're just regurgitating stale post war propaganda regarding WW2. The united states were founded in opposition to Europe but they didn't become violently and explicitly anti European until the new deal regime.

WW2 was explicitly a war of extermination against Europe generally and Germany particularly. And things like the Morgenthau plan explicitly show the genocidal character of the Nuremberg regime.

The only reason Germany still exists is because the united states needed a buffer against the soviet union in the frontline of the cold war.

Besides the stuff relating do WW2 i think your analysis is quite correct. And its only been proven more correct by the complete destruction of the EU economies that's happening now.

But I'm an optimist at heart maybe the economic fallout and the renewed focus on military meters in Europe will facilitate a decoupling from America in the future.

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WW2 was a war for geopolitical supremacy in which the Europeans lost on a spectacular scale. The US entered the war on the side of the UK because that was the line of least resistance to the goal of US global hegemony (amongst other things the US drained the UK of its entire gold reserve before Lend-Lease kicked in and US industry needed to break up 'Imperial Preference' in trade). Animus towards Europe or Germany was not a factor. Germany and her allies gambled and they lost. The Morgenthau plan was never implemented...much like any number of other plans drawn up by the Western Allies during the war, including ones for a post-war invasion of the USSR. Inferring the character of the post-war German regime from the Morgenthau plan is simply silly. The worst that you can say about the regime is that it has been constrained by history: the defeat in 1945 discredited the established political and social order on such a scale that it has made it difficult for Germany to act autonomously in international affairs. The decoupling of Europe from the US will take time.

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