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There's some good stuff in there, but his predictions of Russian public's fortitude to enconomic sanctions is delusional, imo. The response by the West has also galvanized ordinary Russians. Whilst the war analysis seems sound and plausible (that's all anyone can say), this is a far better take on the Putler and Russian people:

http://johnhelmer.net/the-majority-in-russia-supports-putin-for-them-the-war-is-a-form-of-resistance/

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